文章來源：人民日報 發(fa)布(bu)時間：2021-08-04
中國電力(li)企業聯合會(hui)7月29日發(fa)布的(de)《2020年上半年全國電力(li)供需形勢分析(xi)預測報告》顯示：上半年全國全社(she)會(hui)用(yong)電量3.35萬(wan)億千(qian)瓦時，同(tong)比下降(jiang)1.3%，一、二季度增速分別為(wei)-6.5%、3.9%，二季度經(jing)濟穩步(bu)復蘇是當季全社(she)會(hui)用(yong)電量增速明顯回升的(de)最主要原因。
上(shang)半年電(dian)力投(tou)(tou)資(zi)快速增長，納(na)入(ru)行業投(tou)(tou)資(zi)統計(ji)體系(xi)的(de)主要(yao)電(dian)力企業合計(ji)完成投(tou)(tou)資(zi)3395億元，同比(bi)增長21.6%。電(dian)能替代繼續保持較大規(gui)模(mo)增長。通(tong)過(guo)加強港口(kou)岸電(dian)、充電(dian)等設(she)施建設(she)，實施以(yi)電(dian)代煤、以(yi)電(dian)代油等，上(shang)半年電(dian)能替代電(dian)量規(gui)模(mo)達到1100億千瓦時左右。
根據《報告》，下半年電力(li)消費增速將比(bi)上(shang)半年明(ming)顯(xian)回升，預計下半年全社(she)會用(yong)電量(liang)同(tong)(tong)比(bi)增長6%左右，全年全社(she)會用(yong)電量(liang)同(tong)(tong)比(bi)增長2%—3%。
下半年(nian)電(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)供(gong)(gong)需(xu)受到主(zhu)要流域水(shui)電(dian)(dian)(dian)供(gong)(gong)應(ying)能(neng)力(li)(li)不確定、部(bu)分(fen)地(di)區(qu)電(dian)(dian)(dian)煤供(gong)(gong)應(ying)偏緊、疫情(qing)等因素影響，仍然存在(zai)一些(xie)不確定性(xing)。預計全(quan)國電(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)供(gong)(gong)需(xu)總(zong)體(ti)平(ping)衡、局(ju)部(bu)地(di)區(qu)高峰時段電(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)供(gong)(gong)應(ying)偏緊。分(fen)區(qu)域看，預計華北(bei)、華東區(qu)域電(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)供(gong)(gong)需(xu)總(zong)體(ti)平(ping)衡；東北(bei)、西北(bei)區(qu)域電(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)供(gong)(gong)應(ying)能(neng)力(li)(li)富余(yu)；華中、南方(fang)區(qu)域部(bu)分(fen)省份高峰時段電(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)供(gong)(gong)需(xu)偏緊。
【責(ze)任編輯：趙藝(yi)涵】